近日,AMR咨詢公司發(fā)布的第十二版全球展覽報告預(yù)測,受新冠疫情為主的因素影響,2020年全球展覽行業(yè)總收入預(yù)計同比減少199億美元,降幅達到69%。2020年,全球所有會展市場都受到疫情沖擊,但程度哥各不相同。受損最小的很可能是中國,全年展會收入相比2019年下降50%,而受損最嚴重的當屬越南(下降94%)和新加坡(93%)。
報告指出,由于疫情多變,各展覽市場復(fù)蘇速度也各不相同,因此報告未對2021年展覽市場態(tài)勢進行預(yù)測。預(yù)計到2022年,中國作為復(fù)蘇較快的市場,展覽總面積將恢復(fù)至2019年的86%;英國、美國和墨西哥預(yù)計恢復(fù)至80%;德國預(yù)計恢復(fù)至79%;全球展覽總面積將恢復(fù)至78%。
Global exhibitions market to rebound to 78% of its 2019 size by 2022
The primary driver of revenue loss in 2020 is reduced volume sales. In many major markets, this has led to more than a 90% reduction in NSM sold in Q2 and Q3, states the 12th edition of Globex – the global exhibition organising market: assessment and outlook to 2022 – released by AMR International.
Whilst all exhibition markets will suffer a major hit in 2020 as a result of COVID-19, the decline will vary between markets. The least negatively impacted market is likely to be China, with 2020 exhibitions revenues 50% down compared with 2019, whereas the most negatively impacted are forecast to be Vietnam and Singapore (94% and 93% down from 2019 respectively). China is expected to rebound the most, reaching 86% of its relative 2019 size by 2022; UK, US and Mexican exhibition markets are projected to rebound to c.80% of their 2019 size by 2022 and Germany will rebound to 79% of its 2019 size by 2022.