據(jù)芝商所“美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)觀察”,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)9 月會(huì)議維持利率在5.25%—5.50%不變的概率為80.5%,加息25 個(gè)基點(diǎn)至5.50%—5.75%區(qū)間的概率為19.5%;11 月會(huì)議維持當(dāng)前利率不變的概率為42.3%,累計(jì)加息25 個(gè)基點(diǎn)至5.50%—5.75%的概率為48.4%,累計(jì)加息50 個(gè)基點(diǎn)至5.75%—6.00%的概率為9.2%。